Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.044024 0.051361 0.059425 0.068931 0.079812 0.091862 0.106200
2025-06-01 0.032969 0.042532 0.054016 0.068759 0.087111 0.109125 0.137447
2025-06-08 0.024858 0.035083 0.048366 0.066736 0.091314 0.122864 0.166205
2025-06-15 0.020962 0.031997 0.047340 0.069957 0.102115 0.145801 0.209148
2025-06-22 0.017141 0.028142 0.044424 0.069861 0.108072 0.162670 0.245722
2025-06-29 0.013837 0.024331 0.040798 0.067948 0.110836 0.174997 0.276896
2025-07-06 0.011501 0.021551 0.038197 0.067025 0.114688 0.188989 0.311615
2025-07-13 0.010445 0.020698 0.038499 0.070666 0.125971 0.215266 0.367513
2025-07-20 0.009385 0.019623 0.038213 0.073187 0.135570 0.239648 0.422545
2025-07-27 0.007923 0.017508 0.035733 0.071457 0.137592 0.251623 0.458155
2025-08-03 0.006840 0.015929 0.033978 0.070744 0.141199 0.266432 0.499639
2025-08-10 0.005773 0.014173 0.031598 0.068473 0.141595 0.275514 0.531759
2025-08-17 0.004920 0.012739 0.029683 0.066931 0.143331 0.287426 0.570565
2025-08-24 0.004351 0.011843 0.028751 0.067254 0.148721 0.306559 0.624299
2025-08-31 0.003711 0.010644 0.026965 0.065511 0.149717 0.317414 0.663422
2025-09-07 0.003494 0.010465 0.027457 0.068802 0.161500 0.350259 0.747536
2025-09-14 0.003099 0.009734 0.026537 0.068770 0.166165 0.369310 0.806090
2025-09-21 0.002660 0.008787 0.024934 0.066914 0.166591 0.379704 0.848068
2025-09-28 0.002330 0.008075 0.023803 0.066019 0.169044 0.394472 0.900121
2025-10-05 0.002235 0.008048 0.024453 0.069618 0.182251 0.433231 1.005287
2025-10-12 0.002099 0.007867 0.024658 0.072108 0.193086 0.467702 1.103885
2025-10-19 0.001825 0.007172 0.023328 0.070404 0.193589 0.479346 1.154013
2025-10-26 0.001619 0.006657 0.022420 0.069701 0.196469 0.496547 1.217622